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Why you should be bearish right now
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Monday, August 17, 2009
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From Bespoke Investment Group:

A P/E ratio rising from 10 to 18.35 is what happens when the S&P 500 rallies 50% (the P) while earnings (E) continue to decline. Below we provide a chart of the S&P 500 price to earnings ratio since the start of the 2002 bull market using trailing 12-month diluted earnings per share from continuing operations.

Obviously if the current bull is going to have any sustainability at all, earnings will have to start growing again. But for now, as evidenced by the skyrocketing P/E ratio, investors are paying up on the hopes of future earnings growth.

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More on the bear case:

Five tech stocks set to plunge

BEARISH sign: All short sellers giving up

Nassim "Black Swan" Taleb: U.S. leadership is "incompetent;" economy getting worse

Topics: Stocks
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