Thursday, May 24, 2012

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
Why the massacre in silver isn't over yet
Advertisement
Monday, June 06, 2011
Text Size: increase text size decrease text size

From Pragmatic Capitalism:

... I have not read it yet, but my friend Ian McAvity recommends the book Beyond Greed by Stephen Fay for insights on that whole 1980 silver bubble episode. Ian has been writing the newsletter Deliberations since shortly after the earth’s crust cooled, and he is a well known expert on the precious metals markets.

I thought it would be interesting to see how the silver top of 2011 might compare to that 1980 episode. One big point of similarity between the two events has been the efforts of the CME Group (successor to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange) to raise margin requirements for futures traders in order to curtail excessive speculation. And the $50/oz level appears to have been the price that the CME group wanted to defend, just as in the 1980 episode. Like the 1980 example, silver’s first stop on the way down from $50 was an intraday low at $33.54, just six trading days after the top.

The key point of difference between the two periods in this comparison is that I had to bend time a little bit in order to align the other chart structures. The patterns look the same, but...

Read full article...

More on silver:

Where the massacre in silver could end

What you need to know about the crash in silver

What the gold-to-silver ratio is saying about precious metals today

Topics: Silver | Precious_Metals | Trading_Ideas
RSS Feed

 
©2012 Stansberry & Associates Investment Research. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This website may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Stansberry & Associates Investment Research, LLC. 1217 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD 21202.