From The Pragmatic Capitalist:
[Mark] Hanson is painting a picture of a residential real estate market in a death spiral. With some states seeing a sizable majority of potential homebuyers frozen out of the housing market by negative equity, there will be effectively no move-up or organic homebuying.
Folks with less than 25% equity in a house that can be sold today cannot even move laterally, much less trade up, without adding capital that (for the most part) they don’t have to spare.
So mid- to high-end homes become completely illiquid assets at anything like current prices — and illiquidity will drive prices further south as supply overwhelms demand.
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More on housing:
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Disaster approaching: "Tsunami" of foreclosures set to slam housing
Millions of "shadow" foreclosures threaten another big drop in home prices